With all the ballyhoo about the races for United States President, some have lost sight of the seats in both the United States Senate and the United States House of Representatives up for election this fall.
Republicans hold a 54-46 majority in the Senate. Two of the seats included amongst the Democratic side of the chamber are held by Independents—Bernie Sanders of Vermont and Angus King of Maine—who caucus with the Democratic Party.
Thirty-four (34) seats in the Senate are up for election this November. Twenty-four (24) are held by Republicans. Amongst seats that appear possible for the Democratic Party to “flip” are Arizona, Florida, Illinois, New Hampshire, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.
A seat currently held by the Democratic Party might also be in “play”—Nevada, where Minority Leader Harry Reid is retiring.
Polling methods are limited. The “feel” some people have in Indiana is that Baron Hill can win the Senate seat held by Dan Coats, who also is retiring. There also are some people who feel North Carolina, unfairly, has held three (3) seats in the United States Senate and with the retirement of Coats, Indiana will have a chance to once more claim two (2) members in the Senate.
Some dynamics of the races include the effects a Donald Trump at the top of the GOP ticket would have on the other races. In Indiana, the effect could be a double-whammy if Trump is the candidate for President and Mike Pence is on the ballot to be re-elected to the office of Governor. There could be a spillover and Baron Hill become the beneficiary.
The Democratic Party would have to win all seven seats listed, retain Nevada, and win seven (7) more to obtain a majority capable of beating a filibuster of policies or nominations either of a President Sanders or a President Clinton. Alexander Hamilton loathed super-majorities as requisites for general Congressional business. Perhaps a Democratic Majority leader will change the policies of that chamber and more bills will be subject to simple majority vote—or, perhaps, not.